Jeremy Brecher

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How to Make the Fossil Fuel Powers “Stranded Assets”

Posted by Jamie Cantoni

by Jeremy Brecher, originally published 04 July 2025 by Z Network, accessible here: https://znetwork.org/znetarticle/how-to-make-the-fossil-fuel-powers-stranded-assets/

Synopsis

In a few short years, China has become the world’s dominant producer of “Greentech” technology that reduces or repairs harm to the environment. Chinese technology and industrial infrastructure are cheaper and better in nearly every sector of Greentech. Chinese solar, wind, grid, hydro, battery, New Energy Vehicle, and green hydrogen technologies are being adopted in Europe, Asia, Africa, and Latin America at an accelerating pace.

Chinese overseas investments in Greentech are rapidly expanding. While many countries are concerned about the “dumping” of cut-price Chinese exports in their economies, most welcome joint ventures and other forms of investment. Such investments often come with protections for national economies and security.

The United States under President Biden and President Trump has tried to block Chinese Greentech products and investments. President Trump has gone farther, trying to cripple the development of Greentech while trying to expand fossil fuel extraction and burning to make the US the world’s energy superpower, whether in cooperation or in competition with Russia, Saudi Arabia, and the other petrostates.

This strategy is bound to fail, however, because Chinese Greentech is so much cheaper and better than fossil fuel based production. If the US continues to wall out inexpensive Greentech while the rest of the world is converting to it, its fossil fuel industry and the entire industrial ecosystem based on it will lose much of their value – becoming “stranded assets.” The US will lock itself into a high-cost energy infrastructure which will be a large and long-lasting liability for its entire economy.

This new energy reality opens up a strategy for protecting the climate and freeing countries from dependence on fossil fuels and those who control them. By rapidly adopting low-cost Greentech wherever it may come from, climate protectors, fossil-fuel-importing countries, and local communities and governments can reduce their own energy costs and emissions. And they can drive down the value of fossil fuels, thereby rendering the fossil fuel producing countries stranded assets until they are willing to convert to Greentech.

How to Make the Fossil Fuel Powers “Stranded Assets”

There is a specter haunting the fossil fuels powers. As a recent article in The National Interest by two Columbia University energy experts put it,

What is emerging are two competing models of energy and influence—one anchored in the enduring logic of hydrocarbons, the other in the accelerating promise of electrification. At stake is not just the future of energy systems, but the contours of geopolitical power in the decades ahead.

The reality behind the specter is the phenomenal rise of China as the superpower of “Greentech” (sometimes also called “Cleantech”) – technology that reduces or repairs harm to the environment. As BP’s chief economist recently warned, “China is leading the global energy race because of its dominance in building up supply chains for renewable energy and electric vehicles.” Or as a Bloomberg headline put it, “US Will Lose if EU, China Become Clean Energy Buddies.”

Chinese investment and research have so reduced the cost of producing green energy, vehicles, and other technology needed for a Greentech transition that, if they were widely adopted, they would produce disaster for the fossil fuel producing countries, rendering much of their economies as “stranded assets” — assets like coal, oil, and gas that lose their value because they can’t compete with solar, wind, and geothermal energy. Conversely, the widespread adoption of Chinese “Greentech” would move the world far closer to climate safety and free it from the overweening power of fossil fuel companies and countries.

China’s rise as the Greentech superpower is not only a historical fact; it also provides a strategic opportunity for those who want to save the earth’s climate by eliminating fossil fuels; escape domination by the fossil fuel powers; and make affordable climate-safe energy available to all who need it at a reasonable price.

If China, Europe, and other non-fossil fuel countries cooperate to lower the cost of the green transition, they can not only cut greenhouse gas emissions, they can drive down the value of fossil fuels, thereby leaving the economies of fossil fuel producing countries with stranded assets not only in their fossil fuel industries, but in the large parts of their economies that are fossil-fuel based. The result will be lower energy costs for consumers around the world except in the remaining fossil fuel-dependent countries — at least until they are willing to join the Greentech transition.

The world should aim to adopt the least expensive available green energy systems – which today means primarily Chinese technology and industrial ecosystems – as rapidly as possible. We should let the fossil fuel powers suffocate in their own uncompetitive oil, gas, and coal until they are willing to join the rest of the world in going fossil free.

This report draws on many sources, but two have been particularly important. The first is “Green capital tsunami: China’s >$100 billion outbound cleantech investment since 2023 turbocharges global energy transition”from the Australian thinktank Climate Energy Finance. The second is “PetroStates and ElectroStates in a World Divided by Fossil Fuels and Clean Energy” by Columbia University energy experts Tatiana Mitrova and Anne-Sophie Corbeau. Other sources are indicated in the links.

The Chinese Greentech Revolution

According to the Australian think tank Climate Energy Finance, China leads the world in “R&D, investment, innovation, manufacturing, deployment and exports of cleantech” – including solar, wind, batteries, and new energy vehicles (NEVs) –by “an astonishing margin.” Its cleantech investments are more than double those of the US or the EU. f

The cost of electricity to Chinese consumers is barely half that in the US. This is not because sunlight or fossil fuels are easier to obtain there. It is largely because Chinese energy technology is far superior – including high-voltage powerlines, fossil-free renewable energy, and energy-using products like steel and cars. To take one example: Chinese electric vehicle imports to Europe cost 32% less than European EVs in 2023. According to the International Energy Agency’s (IEA) Clean Energy Equipment Price Index, Chinese solar panel and wind turbine prices are down 60% and 50% respectively since 2022.

Chinese technology and industrial infrastructure are cheaper and better in nearly every sector of Greentech and are therefore being adopted in much of the world. As summarized in a report by the Australian think tank Climate Energy Finance:

Wind: China now dominates the global wind industry, in onshore and offshore deployments, manufacturing supply chains, and technology development.

Solar: China totally dominates 80-90% of the technology development and manufacturing supply chains for the global solar industry.

Grid: China has pioneered ultra-high voltage direct current grid transmission projects of well over 1,000km length.

Hydro: China has quadrupled its domestic installed hydro capacity to lead the world at 420GW, four times the second-place US, and now constructs the majority of hydroelectricity dams globally.

Batteries: China totally dominates the entire global battery supply chain. China’s dominance is set to grow massively into 2025 with planned manufacturing plants in Hungary, Morocco, Indonesia, Thailand, Vietnam, Malaysia, the US, Spain, Portugal, the UK, Finland, Sweden, Germany, France, Turkey, and Oman.

New Energy Vehicles: China has become the world’s largest market for new energy vehicles (NEVs), with a 60% global share, and in 2023 became the world’s largest exporter of cars.

Green hydrogen: China dominates electrolyzer [a technology essential for producing low-emissions hydrogen] deployments in 2023, accounting for a 75% global share in 2023.

It is not hard to understand why Chinese Greentech has moved so far ahead. Take EVs, for example. Once China’s auto industry was small and far below international standards. Starting in the 1980s, Chinese industrial policy targeted creation of a domestic automotive supply chain. The government began inviting foreign auto manufacturers to form joint ventures with domestic firms to encourage technology transfers. In a stellar example of sectoral targeting, in 2009 China began to subsidize electric vehicle production specifically. This reflected China’s domestic need for fossil-free energy, the potential for export, severe urban air pollution, and the opportunity to assert global leadership on climate.

Initially far behind other countries in technology and supply chain development, Chinese industrial policy provided direct subsidies to EV supply chain firms. It selected specific technologies to promote, established benchmarks designed to catch up to foreign EV producers, and specified the location of industrial facilities. It invested massively in research on advanced EV production. As part of a recent innovation in the Chinese economy, city governments provided a significant share of investment in EV development.

By 2017 Chinese EVs were good enough and cheap enough to compete in international markets. At that point direct subsidies were supplemented by what was called a “dual credit system.” Car manufacturers were given incentives (“credits”) to increase the percentage of EVs in their domestic fleets and to expand the range and lower the energy consumption of their vehicles. The standards were raised progressively over time. China’s industrial strategy worked: China’s car industry now accounts for 60% of global electric vehicle sales.

Chinese manufacturers now produce EVs that are both cheaper and technologically more advance than US EVs; they have been described as “smartphones on wheels.” According to the German Chamber of Commerce in China, 69 percent of German automotive companies reckon their Chinese competitors already lead them in innovation or will do so within the next five years.

Lying behind the story of Chinese industrial advance, and specifically the rise of its EV industry, is the historically unprecedented Chinese rate of investment. In 2022, China’s level of total investment was more than 40 percent of gross domestic product (GDP) – approximately twice that of the US. This results in substantial part from China’s relatively low wages and limited welfare state provisions. Final consumption accounted for only 53 percent of China’s GDP in 2022. Chinese investment is based on exploiting its people, but that is surely the case for other economies as well.

China’s industrial policy was intentional and coordinated. But China was following the principle of export-oriented development that was the basis of the Western-imposed “Washington Consensus” in the era of neoliberal globalization.

According to the IEA, China continues to invest more than twice as much in cleantech annually as either the US or the EU. From 1995 to 2020, China’s total R&D outlay grew from US$18bn to US$620bn – a 3,299% increase compared to America’s 227%.

This account indicates why it will be extremely difficult for other countries to catch up to Chinese Greentech without drawing on Chinese technology, industrial ecosystems, and investment. The growing recognition of this reality is leading much of the world to decide, “if you can’t beat ‘em, join ‘em.”

Chinese Greentech goes global

While China initially focused on building up its Greentech capacity to reduce its own dependence on fossil fuels, according to Mitrova and Corbeau, China`s long-term trajectory suggests a pivot: “from hydrocarbon-dependent power to a commanding force in an electrified global order.”

Crucial to this trajectory is foreign investment. The Climate Energy Finance report details China’s new program of “huge, historically unprecedented outbound capital flows encompassing the globe” as “China’s world-leading corporates operating across every key decarbonization sector increasingly ‘go global.’”

Based on our tabulation of investments currently proposed and confirmed, we estimate that Chinese firms have committed more than US$100bn in outbound foreign direct investment (OFDI) across at least 130 major cleantech transactions since 2023. . .The technology and geographic diversity of this investment program is striking, spanning Europe, greater Asia, Africa and South America.

Recent Chinese investments include batteries (European Union), solar photovoltaics (Vietnam, Malaysia) and new energy vehicles (Thailand, Brazil). Spain is emerging as a European hub for EV battery manufacturing, based on strategic partnerships with Chinese companies Stellantis and CATL in a joint venture to build a $US4 billion battery plant in northern Spain.

These investments take varied forms. They include joint ventures; investment in or purchase of companies; building and ownership of facilities by Chinese companies; and leasing or purchasing of technology licenses from Chinese companies.

The Chinese “threat”

China’s industrial policy and domestic investment have led to Greentech overcapacity leading to rapid price deflation. This has led to widespread concern about a flood of Chinese Greentech products being “dumped” at low prices in other countries. In May 2024, long before Trump’s “Liberation Day” tariffs, the Biden administration announced tariffs specifically targeting green products, including lithium-ion batteries, critical minerals, and solar cells. It quadrupled duties on electric vehicles to 100%. It also released a “Foreign Entity of Concern” ruling that vehicle manufacturers would not get IRA tax credits if any company in their battery supply chain has 25 percent or more of its equity, voting rights, or board seats owned by a Chinese government-linked company.

Other countries have also increased tariffs on climate-protecting Chinese imports. European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen warned in March that Chinese exports blocked by the US could be rerouted toward Europe. If Americans won’t buy Chinese batteries, Chinese manufacturers could cut prices even further to attract European customers.

Most countries, however, view Chinese Greentech investments as a very different matter from the import of products. Foreign investment is generally viewed as a positive contribution to national economies, providing employment and building up the national industrial base.

Developing countries, including China, have often encouraged foreign investment, but under conditions like technology transfer, hiring of national personnel, and caps on share of ownership.

Last summer the EU imposed new tariffs on Chinese EVs. But the EU may actually have been engaging in an “if you can’t beat ‘em, join ‘em” strategy. The purpose of the tariffs, according to an article reporting on “conversations with four diplomats and two senior officials,” is to “use the tariff threat to force Chinese carmakers to come to Europe to form joint ventures and share technology with their EU counterparts.” Indeed, such joint ventures are already developing. Stellantis has an EV joint venture with China’s Leapmotor and Spain’s EBRO-EV has one with Chery to build EVs in Barcelona.

Such joint ventures often include provisions to address economic and security concerns of the host countries. According to a Reuters news story last summer, Italy was reportedly negotiating a deal with China’s state-owned Dongfeng which would ensure that at least 45% of the components in cars produced in Italy are sourced from within the country. Italy was also seeking commitments from Dongfeng to manage customer data locally and source critical components like infotainment units from European suppliers. Given the common interests of China and potential recipient countries in expanding Chinese Greentech investment, there appears to be a good deal of room for negotiating joint ventures that protect the interests of both sides.

Other reasons are sometimes given for discouraging Chinese Greentech overseas investment based on unrelated objections to Chinese behavior. Chinese human rights violations ranging from persecution of Uyghurs to suppression of free speech are sometimes urged as reasons to treat Chinese investment with suspicion. So are allegations that China threatens the security of other countries. While China is far from perfect, such criticisms are rarely applied equally to the superpower that has funded and supplied the weapons for genocide and other war crimes in Gaza, conducted an unprovoked attack on Iran, and threatened to annex Canada and Greenland. Containing the depredations of all superpowers will require a radical change in the world order that applies international humanitarian and human rights law to great as well as lesser powers. Such charges against China provide no basis for avoiding the measures that are necessary to limit destruction of the climate and domination by the fossil fuel powers.

The fossil fuel powers’ energy plan — and why it will fail

In June 2024 John Podesta, senior adviser to Joe Biden on international climate policy, told an interviewer, “The US is now the number one producer of oil and gas in the world, the number one exporter of natural gas, and that’s a good thing.” He also defended the 100% tariff the Biden administration imposed on electric vehicles and other Greentech products from China. After accusing China of deliberately overproducing green goods, Podesta said, “We’re witnessing a renaissance of manufacturing in the US in the green technology space, and will resist unfair trade practices that are going to undermine that investment.” In short, Biden administration policy was to expand fossil fuel production and exports while excluding the increasingly cheaper, superior, and more competitive Chinese Greentech.

Donald Trump is one-upping this program of climate destruction and economic nationalism. He is demolishing the modest US Greentech initiatives, for example by defunding the climate-protecting programs in the Inflation Reduction Act and attempting to block coastal wind projects. At the same time, he is expanding coal, oil, and gas extraction and burning as rapidly as he can as a means to both economic and geopolitical dominance.

Trump’s fossil fuel policy oscillates between global US energy dominance and a fossil fuel imperial alliance led by the US, Russia, and Saudi Arabia. According to Mitrova and Corbeau, these three countries, with about a third of global oil output, now share “a commitment to energy dominance, particularly through fossil fuels,” with none supporting “a transition away from hydrocarbons.”

Why is Donald Trump, despite his vow to make the US the energy superpower, cozying up to what would seem like his competitors, Russia, Saudi Arabia, and the Persian Gulf emirates? And why is he doing everything possible, not just to deny the reality of climate change, but to decrease renewable energy, even though it would increase US energy production and could complement rather than impede the development of other fossil fuel energy? The obvious reason is that inexpensive Greentech – most of it Chinese – is an existential threat to either US fossil fuel dominance or to a cartel of major fossil fuel states.

Here is the Achilles heel of all the schemes for global domination by fossil fuel powers. As we have seen, Chinese Greentech is now substantially cheaper and better than fossil fuel production. If the rest of the world decides to use the Chinese-developed Greentech to undercut the role of fossil fuels, all the investments of the “fossil fuel powers” in oil, gas, and coal will be rendered stranded assets.

Stranded assets are assets whose value is reduced before their expected useful lifetime. If fossil fuels and fossil fuel infrastructure lose their value because they can’t compete with Greentech, the companies that own them will also lose much of their value. And this is the case not only for fossil fuel companies, but for the entire economic ecosystem based on fossil fuel. As BPs chief US economist warned,

The U.S. should be worried about trying to sell a gasoline-fueled Chevrolet Suburban that cost six figures. The question is where will American car companies be able to sell a gasoline truck? How is that going to compete in the international marketplace with a $20,000 EV that can charge in five minutes. You need to ask yourselves that question.”

It is not only companies but also countries that can become stranded assets. By doubling down on fossil fuels, the US not only risks creating stranded fossil fuel company or auto company assets; it also locks itself into a high-cost energy infrastructure which will be a large and long-lasting liability for its entire economy. As a Canadian energy expert put it, “The U.S. and Canada 100% tariffs on China’s EVs, batteries and components will boomerang regarding a growing innovation gap and legacy automakers’ competitivity in critical global markets.”

The vulnerability of the fossil fuel industry is not just something for the distant future. According to a paper from the Carnegie Endowment, a much bigger concern than the effects of tariffs for the U.S. oil and gas industry is “the collapsing oil price.”

WTI Crude, a key benchmark price, has fallen to about $60 per barrel in mid-April, its lowest level since 2021. Amid fears of a global recession, traders are worried that there won’t be enough demand for their product. These prices are lower than the minimum level they need to make drilling new wells profitable, according to their responses to a Dallas Federal Reserve survey.

According to the IEA, oil production will outstrip demand from now until at least 2030. “Lower oil prices and demand expectations are set to result in a 6% fall in upstream oil investment in 2025,” the first year-on-year decline since the Covid slump in 2020 and the largest since 2016. Global refinery investment in 2025 is set to “fall to its lowest level in the past 10 years.”

“A time-critical opportunity”

Investment in Chinese Greentech is expanding in most parts of the world – with the notable exception of the US, Russia, and other fossil fuel producers. The price of fossil fuels is already falling, largely due to their inability to compete with the falling cost of Greentech. But to protect the climate, liberate countries from fossil fuel dependence, and reduce the hegemony of fossil fuel powers, the implementation of Greentech and the collapse of fossil fuel industries needs to proceed much faster. According to the IEA, “The annual investment required in renewable power still needs to double to achieve a tripling of installed renewable capacity by 2030.” This needs to be accompanied by rising spending on “grids, storage and other forms of flexibility” to ensure “secure and cost-effective utilization of this capacity.” Spending on efficiency and electrification needs to “almost triple” within the next five years to deliver a 4% annual energy intensity improvement by the end of the decade.

The Climate Energy Finance report lays out a powerful vision of how this can happen. It notes that there is an “under-deployment” of Chinese low-cost cleantech production capacity. But there is a “time-critical opportunity” to change that through a “faster rollout of decarbonization technologies across the globe.” China’s research and development and manufacturing scaling-up, which have slashed the cost of green technologies, are “the key enabler of accelerated global decarbonization.” And that is “an existential necessity” as “the climate challenge escalates” and “for nations to secure their energy independence.”

The global adoption of Chinese-type Greentech can be accelerated by deliberate action. Three forces in particular are positioned to accelerate it and have a strong interest in doing so.

The first and most obvious is China. China has a strong interest in encouraging the adoption of its Greentech around the world. Foreign direct investment is “a key strategic pillar” of China’s project to “globalize its footprint, extend its geopolitical influence, circumvent tariffs, secure its supply chains, and build new and developing domestic markets for its massive output of cleantech production.” It is not yet evident how much China will pursue narrow commercial or geopolitical interests. But it is in the interests of the rest of the world to make a constructive role the most attractive course for China.

While in the era of polycrisis no great power’s policy can be reliably predicted, China has indicated an openness to such an approach. In a directive sent to Chinese automotive companies early in 2024, the Ministry of Commerce said firms should build an industrial supply chain system “jointly built and shared by all parties.” China can contribute to global decarbonization by continuing its amazing progress in Greentech; making it available to the rest of the world on mutually beneficial terms; and helping develop global policies that encourage polycentric independence.

The global climate movement can also be a key player in promoting the rapid expansion of Greentech worldwide. This does not mean that the movement must give up its independence and become “pro-Chinese”; in fact, its informed and evenhanded criticism of all parties that affect the climate remains crucial for climate progress. But it can fight in every arena for the use of the best and cheapest available Greentech and for investment regimes that make this attractive both for the Chinese and for all countries that want to transition off fossil fuels.

Fossil fuel-importing countries form a third major force for using Chinese Greentech to replace fossil fuels. According to the IEA, there has been rapid growth worldwide in spending on energy transitions over the past five years. Some 70% of that increased spending came from net fossil fuel importers. Countries that are dependent on imported fossil fuels have an overwhelming interest in using Chinese Greentech and investment to make a rapid transition off fossil fuels. As Mitrova and Corbeau put it, “For any country seeking to decarbonize (unlike the United States, Saudi Arabia, and Russia), China is an indispensable partner.”

While there is a reasonable concern that China may use dependence on its technology and investment to exercise undue influence, in the emerging polycentric world countries can resist unilateral dependence through a policy of “polyalignment,” cooperating with many different countries in different arenas. They can also negotiate arrangements with China like technology transfers, limits on foreign personnel, and caps on share of investment in joint ventures that protect national interests and provide a pathway to greater independence.

The need for such cooperation is particularly essential for developing and emerging countries. Africa accounts for only 2% of clean energy investment despite having 20% of the world population. China’s special envoy for climate change stated in June 2024 that China’s investment into technology innovation and manufacturing had slashed green energy costs globally, and that it stands ready to collaborate with developing countries to help them to decarbonize. Nearly half of China’s exports of solar, wind, and EV and battery products already go to the Global South.

How fast can this go? In 2023, Pakistan’s entire power generation capacity was 46 gigawatts. In the last two years it has installed 40 gigawatts of new solar capacity, based largely on imported Chinese solar panels. According to the IEA, Chinese solar exports to developing economies surpassed those to advanced economies in early 2025.

China, recipient countries, and investors can provide much of the needed capital. But this process can be greatly accelerated by the development of an international fund to finance the use of Chinese Greentech in the rest of the world. Call it an international “Fossil-Freedom Investment Fund.” Its purpose would be to support installation of the cheapest and best fossil-free production where it contributes most to global climate and development goals. In most cases that superior production model will be Chinese. Ideally it would be housed within the UN system, but it could alternatively be freestanding or part of some other international organization.

Push the River!

The urgent, large-scale adoption of Chinese Greentech can be fought for in the arenas of national policy, global cooperation of non-fossil fuel countries, and local and sub-national governments and communities.

In national arenas, those seeking climate protection, national independence, and affordable energy can unite around a program of rapid adoption of Chinese Greentech through governmental economic guidance, joint ventures, technology transfers, and sub-national and community initiatives. These can all incorporate negotiated provisions for economic development and national independence. As the Climate Energy Finance report puts it, there is

Enormous potential for bi- and multilateral partnerships and collaborations on innovating and building new and emerging future-facing energy transition industries, as nations leverage Chinese capital and expertise in localized contexts to value-add domestically and derive mutual benefit. Recent announcements in Saudi Arabia, Morocco, Hungary and Brazil all illustrate a potential game-changing shift in China’s strategic direction to better ensure more sustainable win-win collaborations.”

In international arenas, coordinated policies could greatly amplify and accelerate the adoption of low-cost Greentech. This could take place through a tacit alliance of non-fossil-fuel-producing countries, or through an international “grand bargain” establishing a Fossil-Free Development Pact. According to the IEA, “a growing finance gap in developing economies points to a larger role for international sources” combined with “the development of domestic capital markets.” I

There could be a role for international financial institutions like the World Bank and the IMF, although so far they largely appear to toe the line of the fossil fuel powers. The BRICS+ formation also might play a role, but it includes the major fossil fuel powers Russia and Saudi Arabia. The UN could well play a major role, identifying common interests and developing strategies and policies that could win widespread acceptance – at least among the non-fossil fuel countries. There might also be a role for an alliance of developing countries aiming to ensure that programs adequately address those most in need.

Local communities and sub-national governments can also act on their own initiative in cooperation with, or even in opposition to, their national governments. CNN reports that the incredible increase in solar energy in Pakistan, for example, has occurred “largely in the absence of large-scale government solar spending.” According to Mustafa Amjad, program director at Renewables First, an energy think tank based in Islamabad, “It was essentially the people forcing markets to import more solar panels.”

How do people in fossil fuel countries fit into this picture? Even in fossil fuel countries, local communities and sub-national jurisdictions may be able to circumvent the sometimes-porous national import restrictions to access the cheapest and best Greentech, wherever it comes from. They can launch campaigns to demand that national governments stop blocking their access to low-cost Greentech – campaigns that can win wide support on economic as well as climate grounds. They can install low-cost, high-quality Greentech in their venues. They can be part of the “Green New Deal from below” movement that is installing Greentech with or without the support of national governments.

Climate advocates in fossil fuel countries can loudly proclaim the devastating effects of fossil fuel dependence. They can truthfully say that their countries’ romance with fossil fuels is catastrophic not only for the climate, but also for the future of their national economies. Every dollar spent on fossil fuel development is a dollar more that can become a stranded asset. By promoting dependence on fossil fuels, their governments have slowed or even reversed the transition to climate safety — and they have doomed their national economies to become stranded assets. Climate advocates can make the demand for Greentech a crucial part of the resistance to Trump, Putin, and the Middle Eastern oil autocrats.

The need for global cooperation among non-fossil fuel powers to promote rapid proliferation of low-cost, high quality Greentech is increasingly recognized. According to a recent article in the Guardian,

Many experts believe the only prospect of staving off climate breakdown is for China, the EU, the UK and other major economies to form a pro-climate bloc alongside vulnerable developing countries, to counter the weight of US, Russia, Saudi Arabia and petrostates pushing for the continued expansion of fossil fuels.

Simply adding Chinese Greentech to the existing world order will not be sufficient to solve the problems the world faces; that will require many additional forms of economic, social, political, and technological change. But tacit large-scale cooperation, or even a Greentech “grand bargain” among Europe, China, and the developing and emerging countries, could turn the fossil fuel great powers – notably the US, Russia, and Saudi Arabia — into stranded assets. It could crash the economies of the fossil fuel powers, provide massive development for countries exiting the fossil fuel economy – and radically reduce the destruction of the global climate.

 

A Report from the Labor Network for Sustainability, Co-published by ZNetwork.org.
A shorter piece derived from this report was published in Foreign Policy in Focus.

Jeremy Brecher is a co-founder and senior strategic advisor for the Labor Network for Sustainability. He is the author of more than a dozen books on labor and social movements, including Strike! Common Preservation in a Time of Mutual Destruction, and The Green New Deal from Below.

The mission of the Labor Network for Sustainability is to be a relentless force for urgent, science-based climate action by building a powerful labor-climate movement to secure an ecologically sustainable and economically just future where everyone can make a living on a living planet.

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ABOUT JEREMY BRECHER

11You and I may not know each other, but I suspect there are some problems that we share -- problems like climate change, war, and injustice. For half a century I have been participating in and writing about social movements that address those problems. The purpose of this website is to share what I've learned. I hope it provides something of use to you in addressing our common problems.

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